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Picks YTD: 46-37 (+5.60 units)

206 Appalachian State -3

You know how we love the bowl running dogs. Well Max (Saber) sent me over the following:

“So I went back to 2013 with Bowls. If you find the team to be the higher total rushing yards, you cover 71% of the time. If you find the dogs who rush more than the fav, you cover 87% of the time!!!”

Now we’ve known for years that the bowl running dogs are money (106-15 ATS since 2013), but what this is saying is that the team that outrushes it’s opponent in the bowl game, favorite or dog, is going to cover 71% of the time (the team that won rushing yards covered 202 of 283 bowl games dating back to 2013).